Geographers' bin Laden Prediction Proves Accurate

Two years ago, two UCLA professors ran a model that gave an 88.9 per cent likelihood of bin Laden living in Abbottabad.

Two geography professors from UCLA performed a mapping experiment in 2009 to find Osama bin Laden's hiding place, and their results proved to be startlingly accurate. Thomas Gillespe and John Agnew predicted that there was an 88.9 per cent likelihood of bin Laden being in Abbottabad, Pakistan, by using a model typically meant for tracking endangered species. While they figured the city of Parachinar was his most likely hideout, some 280 kilometres away from bin Laden's final home, the researchers accurately concluded he would be found at a secure, walled compound in a mid-sized city with access to medical facilities.